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Haven't read this yet, but there's a statistical study of top pros serving patterns just out that might be of interest.
https://link.springer.com/epdf/10.10...G9N5TwmmmPA%3D
Some might seem like proving observation or common sense, but checking numbers confirms what's right and not.
Excerpt: "Prediction example: Roger Federer trailing0–1 in sets, 5–6 in games, and facing breakpoint against a right-handed returner. If Federerpreviously served T, which direction will he now serve? How would his predicted servedirection change on first serve compared to second serve? For this unique match scenario, wepresent Federer’s predictive distributions in Fig.7. Consistent with Federer’s temperament,on first serve the predictive probabilities reflect Federer’s disdain for the Body direction and instead favour Wide and T. Meanwhile on second serve, there is a clear preference serving Wide, which incidentally would target the returner’s backhand.
Example graphic:
filedata/fetch?id=96347&d=1642357016&type=thumb
https://link.springer.com/epdf/10.10...G9N5TwmmmPA%3D
Some might seem like proving observation or common sense, but checking numbers confirms what's right and not.
Excerpt: "Prediction example: Roger Federer trailing0–1 in sets, 5–6 in games, and facing breakpoint against a right-handed returner. If Federerpreviously served T, which direction will he now serve? How would his predicted servedirection change on first serve compared to second serve? For this unique match scenario, wepresent Federer’s predictive distributions in Fig.7. Consistent with Federer’s temperament,on first serve the predictive probabilities reflect Federer’s disdain for the Body direction and instead favour Wide and T. Meanwhile on second serve, there is a clear preference serving Wide, which incidentally would target the returner’s backhand.
Example graphic:
filedata/fetch?id=96347&d=1642357016&type=thumb
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